Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 102.874181 116.819402 132.181627 150.397186 171.454132 195.086365 223.695469
2026-01-11 81.940802 99.958150 121.449697 149.116085 183.989553 226.752733 283.566864
2026-01-18 71.444003 91.733514 117.362447 152.398882 199.492178 261.225625 349.305955
2026-01-25 62.787800 83.950314 111.927663 152.068787 208.917241 287.647102 406.866618
2026-02-01 56.791692 78.618219 108.629163 153.538758 220.128952 316.959940 471.644669
2026-02-08 50.786450 72.420089 103.183400 150.922826 224.596949 336.420158 523.742579
2026-02-15 46.848878 68.663039 100.667553 152.051373 234.396503 364.577222 592.821865
2026-02-22 43.653751 65.613975 98.774924 153.724291 244.944460 394.801309 669.189468
2026-03-01 39.696114 60.981784 93.938579 150.077883 246.208436 409.593543 720.564865
2026-03-08 36.417657 57.094962 89.867498 147.160242 248.184659 425.533243 775.854986
2026-03-15 33.868066 54.140537 87.000175 145.899910 252.751585 446.342835 842.966426
2026-03-22 32.691316 53.326076 87.563612 150.561909 268.321288 488.930468 958.880042
2026-03-29 30.973326 51.649059 86.842389 153.492102 282.272086 532.685150 1090.016795
2026-04-05 28.708515 48.852100 83.957274 152.240869 288.320286 562.357722 1198.144077
2026-04-12 27.368072 47.546035 83.571538 155.604104 303.834877 613.468739 1364.005851
2026-04-19 25.657275 45.403997 81.429058 155.266477 311.679311 649.460312 1501.790797
2026-04-26 24.351675 43.885482 80.291737 156.770965 323.544979 695.970872 1674.838928
2026-05-03 22.672450 41.513503 77.290982 154.093658 325.916972 721.214123 1798.855723
2026-05-10 21.580719 40.174756 76.179897 155.248668 336.989377 768.534316 1991.905707
2026-05-17 20.638552 39.046102 75.376935 156.960856 349.550308 821.431186 2212.505486
2026-05-24 19.232980 36.879070 72.265888 153.228918 348.690376 840.495033 2339.462284
2026-05-31 18.018890 35.007127 69.609290 150.243013 349.264941 863.379645 2483.354545
2026-06-07 17.056924 33.580889 67.773002 148.953242 353.908171 897.858508 2671.869240